@ice_wallow_crypto

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Avg. Quality

68

Success Rate

19.11

Analysis

450
Correct
86
Fail
313
Pending
49
Ineffective
0
Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Fail
NIGHTUSDT
Long Entry 0.0813 2025-12-25 18:28 UTC
Target 0.1160 Fail 0.0700 In 3 Months
Risk/Reward 1 : 3
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Final PnL
-13.85%
P/L:
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NIGHTUSDT
Fail
Cryptocurrency
Technical
1H
Analysis Predict Bull Market
The analysis commences with NIGHTUSD, where the price is posited to be in a 4th wave correction. If the asset sustains above the 0.786 Fibonacci support level at 0.073 cents, a bullish 3rd wave, part of a larger 5th wave, is anticipated, targeting between 0.116 and 0.133 cents. Invalidation of this bullish scenario occurs if the price drops below 0.070 cents. Conversely, breaking below this threshold could trigger a larger bearish setup, potentially driving the price to the 0.056-cent range. The 4-hour RSI has been rejected from its moving average, suggesting a potential re-test or breakthrough is imminent to confirm the upward movement. For ADAUSD, the price is stagnating below the 0.786 support level at 0.380 cents. A further decline to 0.318 cents is projected if the price fails to maintain above 0.353 cents. A break below 0.278 cents, which is the low of the implied second wave, would invalidate the entire ABC structure, potentially leading to a significantly bearish outcome towards 0.13 cents. The daily RSI is below its moving average, requiring a decisive break above for any bullish confirmation. The weekly RSI currently sits at approximately 32, nearing the oversold territory below 30, which historically preceded upward movements. In the BTCUSD analysis, on the 4-hour chart, a 1-2 wave setup is observed, with a reaction noted at the 0.618 support level. Sustained price action above the 4-hour RSI moving average could initiate a 3rd wave, targeting between 101,300 and 107,500. This bullish outlook would be invalidated if the price falls below 84,000. The daily RSI has recently closed above its moving average, a historically bullish indicator often preceding significant price increases. On the weekly timeframe, Bitcoin's RSI remains below its second trendline, signifying a need to break above this resistance for confirmed bullish momentum. ETHUSD is analyzed in a 1-2-1-2 wave structure. A bullish third wave targeting $4,000 is predicted, contingent on the price remaining above the identified support level of $2,760. Surpassing $4,000 would also position the asset above the bear market support band, reinforcing bullish sentiment. USDT Dominance (USDT.D) shows its weekly RSI in overbought territory. Historically, such conditions lead to a 40-60% decline in USDT.D, which typically correlates with Bitcoin achieving all-time highs. A target of 3.20% is set for USDT.D, with a breach above 7.00% invalidating this bearish projection. Finally, Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is observed consolidating. A break above the 0.618 resistance at 60.34% could see BTC.D targeting the 200-day moving average at 60.5%. This increase in dominance would be bearish for altcoins, while a fall below 58.40% would invalidate this upward forecast for BTC.D, potentially signaling strength for altcoins.
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