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The analysis highlights a significant pullback in Bitcoin, accompanied by a recent weekly candle close where a critical white moving average (MA) crossed below a green MA. Historical analysis of similar MA crosses on the weekly chart indicates previous Bitcoin price drops ranging from 40% to 50%, observed in 2022, during the COVID crash, and earlier bear markets in 2018 and 2014. Despite a lingering hope for a short-term rally towards 100,000 USD, with a potential peak around 108,000 USD, the consistent historical pattern raises alarm for a subsequent substantial decline. Dogecoin is noted to be in a continuous downtrend, exhibiting lower lows independently, even as Bitcoin might show higher lows. This suggests Dogecoin could potentially fall below 5 cents. Furthermore, the 5-day Stoch RSI for Bitcoin is currently in an overbought state, a condition that has historically preceded market corrections. Consequently, while a brief upward movement is possible, the prevailing technical indicators suggest a significant long-term downside for Bitcoin, potentially towards the 50,000-64,000 USD range, which would likely exacerbate Dogecoin's bearish trajectory.